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Statistics & methods

The current production A/B surface reports observed analytics. It does not expose a configurable statistical testing method.

What the results report​

For each complete-video variant, the results can show:

  • Sessions and conversions
  • The observed rate for the selected goal
  • Lift versus the control when it can be calculated
  • Traffic share and average retention
  • An observed leader

A test with no player events shows No data yet rather than synthesized zeroes.

Controls that are not available​

The current UI has no:

  • Bayesian/Frequentist selector
  • Sequential-testing option
  • Alpha, power, or minimum-sample inputs
  • Sample-size calculator
  • Significance gauge, p-value, or confidence interval
  • Confidence-over-time chart
  • Confidence threshold for promotion

Do not interpret the Leader label as a claim of statistical significance. It identifies the highest observed goal rate among the available results.

How promotion works​

Manual promotion is an operator decision. Optional automatic promotion is a per-test schedule: after 1–336 hours, the current goal-rate leader is promoted. It is not gated by a documented confidence threshold or minimum sample size.

Best practices​

  • Compare sessions and rates alongside lift; small samples can move sharply.
  • Keep live traffic changes in mind because editing allocation does not reset observations.
  • Use an external statistical review if your decision requires a formal confidence or power calculation.

Frequently asked questions​

Which statistical engine does the UI use?

The current UI does not expose or identify a Bayesian/Frequentist engine. It reports observed sessions, rates, lift, retention, traffic share, and leader.

Does Leader mean statistically significant?

No. Leader reflects the strongest observed goal rate; the product does not expose confidence, significance, or p-values.

Is there a sample-size calculator?

No. Sample-size, alpha, power, and minimum-sample controls are not available in the current production UI.